Modesto, CA Housing Market 2026: What Homes Actually Sell For
What homes actually sell for in Modesto: a median closing price of $445,000 across 1,076 closings Resideline tracked over the last six months, plus the full price spread.
Modesto closes a lot of homes into a narrow band, which makes its median unusually informative: sales over the last six months land close together, so the citywide number is a real anchor rather than an average of extremes.
The snapshot
- •Closings tracked, last 6 months: 1,076
- •Median sold price, last 6 months: $445,000
- •Median sold $/sqft, last 6 months: $281
- •Middle half of sales closed between: $365,000 and $530,000
What the numbers say
Resideline tracked 1,076 closed sales in Modesto over the last six months, with a median closing price of $445,000. That median is the midpoint of what buyers actually paid, not what sellers hoped to get, which is why it moves differently from the asking prices you see on listing sites. The middle half of those sales closed between $365,000 and $530,000. That spread matters more than the headline median: where a specific property sits inside it decides whether the citywide number helps you or misleads you. These are the closings Resideline tracks and may differ from complete county or municipal records. The large tracked sample provides substantial market-level evidence. 84% of the Modesto closings we track here are single-family houses, so these figures primarily reflect that segment, and the citywide $/sqft figure primarily reflects that segment as well. Across the 1,074 closings with usable living area, the middle half sold between $233 and $323 per square foot.
Figures last updated August 22, 2026 from closings Resideline tracked.
Median home price in Modesto, CA (August 2026)
The median home price in Modesto is $445,000, measured across the 1,076 closed sales Resideline tracked over the last six months. The middle half of those sales closed between $365,000 and $530,000.
Where Modesto sale prices land
Medians hide the shape of a market. The distribution above covers the closed sales Resideline tracked in Modesto over the last six months, trimmed to the 5th through 95th percentile, with the middle half of sales closing between $365,000 and $530,000. Where your target property sits inside that spread matters more than the citywide median.
How long a sale takes here
- •Listed to under contract: a median of 16 days, across 759 Modesto closings Resideline tracked in the last six months
- •Contract to closing: a median of 25 days, across 740 Modesto closings Resideline tracked in the last six months
The Modesto angle
Modesto closed prices cluster more tightly than most markets we track, and the middle half sits almost evenly around the midpoint. Across 1,076 closings Resideline tracked over the last six months, the median closed sale price was $445,000, and the middle half of sales closed between $365,000 and $530,000. A band that narrow gives the median genuine predictive weight, which flips the analytical question. The issue is no longer how much the market varies, but what specifically about your subject would justify pushing it outside the middle half. Depth runs deeper than most markets we track, so you can test that answer against a well filtered comp set.
From market read to offer price
A tight market makes the next step easier: the citywide anchor sits close to most homes, and a report only has to explain the gap. The decision still comes down to one property and one number: what it is actually worth and what you should pay. Every Resideline report opens with this same market snapshot for the subject's exact ZIP code, then gives you the property's value, the sold comps behind it, and a market rent estimate. Pricing a specific deal? The free ARV calculator and rental property calculator run the numbers in about a minute.
And we show our work. Every estimate is frozen while the home is for sale and graded against the real closing price after it sells. As of August 2026, the public scoreboard showed 3.26% median error across 12,516+ graded closings. See the live accuracy dashboard for the receipts, or read how the Area Market Snapshot works.
Run any Modesto address through Resideline and you will see the local market and the property's value together, in one report.
Cite this
Using these numbers? Please cite the source and the sample size:
Source: Resideline Market Watch
Market: Modesto, CA
Data updated: August 2026
Analysis period: last six months
Tracked closings: 1,076
Median sold price: $445,000
Median sold $/sqft: $281 (1,074 qualifying)
Property mix: 84% houses
https://resideline.com/blog/modesto-ca-housing-market
The local market statistics in this report are calculated from closed sales tracked by Resideline. Transaction coverage may differ from complete county or municipal records.
Every local market figure on this page is computed from closed sales Resideline tracked in Modesto over the last six months, and is refreshed when the data is. The closings we track inside the city limits are not limited to listing-service sales: they also include foreclosure deeds, estate and family transfers, and other off-market sales that portal medians exclude, which is why 21% of the 1,076 closings in this window never appeared on a listing service, and the median of MLS-listed sales alone was $450,000.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the median home price in Modesto?
The median sold price in Modesto over the last 6 months is $445,000, measured across 1,076 closings Resideline tracked.
How many homes sold in Modesto last month?
Resideline tracked 156 closed sales in Modesto in July 2026, out of 1,076 closings tracked over the last six months. These are tracked samples of market activity, not official county totals.
What is the typical sale price range in Modesto?
The middle half of Modesto sales over the last six months closed between $365,000 and $530,000, with a median of $445,000.
What is the typical price per square foot in Modesto?
Among qualifying Modesto closings Resideline tracked over the last six months, the median sold price per square foot was $281, measured across 1,074 sales with usable living area. Median is used rather than average because outliers distort the mean.
Should a Modesto estimate ever land outside the middle half?
Yes, since half of all closings fall outside it by definition, but you should be able to say why. The middle half of Modesto sales closed between $365,000 and $530,000 around a median of $445,000 across 1,076 closings Resideline tracked over the last six months, a tighter spread than most markets we track. When the band is this narrow, an estimate far outside it needs matched closed sales out there to support it, not an adjustment argument.
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