ResidelineAVM Accuracy
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Independently verifiable · graded on public record sales

We call the sale price before the sale.

Every day, our AVM values homes that are still on the market, and locks the number in. When each home closes, we publish how close we were. No hindsight, no cherry-picking, no revisions.

25696
graded closings (rolling window)
695,714
live predictions
37
states graded
Median error
3.5%
89% within 10% of sale price
Median error across 24,766 gated closings scored since we predicted them · as of 2026-10-05
01 Freeze

We value the home while it is still for sale and lock the prediction. It can never be edited.

02 Close

The market decides. The home sells for whatever a real buyer actually pays.

03 Grade

We compare our frozen number to the recorded sale price and publish the error, win or lose.

The proof

Predicted vs. actual sale price

Each dot is a real home. The closer to the line, the better the call. 485 recent closes shown.

≤2% ≤5% ≤10% >10%
Consistency

How close do we land?

89% of all graded homes land within 10% of the final sale price.

Track record

Accuracy over time

Median error by day: Resideline AVM (teal) vs. taking the list price (gray).

Receipts

Recent sales, graded

Our frozen prediction next to what each home actually sold for.

PropertyPredictedSold forMissClosed
5723 Kinoll Ave, Cincinnati, OH 45213
OH
$277,116$300,0007.6%2026-10-05
359 Jackson St, Columbus, OH 43206
OH
$800,564$842,0004.9%2026-10-05
516 Spoonbill Way, Sarasota, FL 34236
FL
$1,289,316$1,675,00023.0%2026-10-05
203 Crooked Stick Ct, Howell, NJ 07731
NJ
$470,554$455,0003.4%2026-10-05
2842 Seccomb St, Fort Collins, CO 80526
CO
$646,494$660,0002.1%2026-10-05
6005 Tree Line Ct, Orangevale, CA 95662
CA
$647,884$620,0004.5%2026-10-05
1351 E Allen St, Lancaster, OH 43130
OH
$274,927$275,0000.0%2026-10-05
7940 Harvestmoon Dr, Reynoldsburg, OH 43068
OH
$355,494$360,0001.3%2026-10-05
19 Country Club Dr #9, Manchester, NH 03102
NH
$253,939$235,0008.1%2026-10-05
152 Crator Dr, Louisville, KY 40229
KY
$212,608$210,0001.2%2026-10-05
25,892 graded homes all time
1 / 2590

Run it on any property.

The same model that produces these numbers powers every Resideline valuation report.

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Frozen while listed Graded on real closes Untunable by design

Methodology: every day we value active listings and freeze each prediction. When a home later closes, the frozen number is compared to the recorded sale price; predictions can never be revised after the fact. Median error is the median absolute difference between prediction and sale price, as a percent of the sale price. Sale prices from public records.