AVM AccuracyWe call the sale price before the sale.
Every day, our AVM values homes that are still on the market, and locks the number in. When each home closes, we publish how close we were. No hindsight, no cherry-picking, no revisions.
We value the home while it is still for sale and lock the prediction. It can never be edited.
The market decides. The home sells for whatever a real buyer actually pays.
We compare our frozen number to the recorded sale price and publish the error, win or lose.
Predicted vs. actual sale price
Each dot is a real home. The closer to the line, the better the call.
How close do we land?
0% of all graded homes land within 10% of the final sale price.
Accuracy over time
Median error by day: Resideline AVM (teal) vs. taking the list price (gray).
Recent sales, graded
Our frozen prediction next to what each home actually sold for.
| Property | Predicted | Sold for | Miss | Closed |
|---|---|---|---|---|
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Run it on any property.
The same model that produces these numbers powers every Resideline valuation report.
Get a valuationMethodology: every day we value active listings and freeze each prediction. When a home later closes, the frozen number is compared to the recorded sale price; predictions can never be revised after the fact. Median error is the median absolute difference between prediction and sale price, as a percent of the sale price. Sale prices from public records.