ResidelineAVM Accuracy
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Independently verifiable · graded on public record sales

We call the sale price before the sale.

Every day, our AVM values homes that are still on the market, and locks the number in. When each home closes, we publish how close we were. No hindsight, no cherry-picking, no revisions.

12934
graded closings (rolling window)
626,215
live predictions
50
states covered
Median error
3.3%
90% within 10% of sale price
Across 12,934 homes sold since we predicted them · as of 2026-08-25
01 Freeze

We value the home while it is still for sale and lock the prediction. It can never be edited.

02 Close

The market decides. The home sells for whatever a real buyer actually pays.

03 Grade

We compare our frozen number to the recorded sale price and publish the error, win or lose.

The proof

Predicted vs. actual sale price

Each dot is a real home. The closer to the line, the better the call. 486 recent closes shown.

≤2% ≤5% ≤10% >10%
Consistency

How close do we land?

90% of all graded homes land within 10% of the final sale price.

Track record

Accuracy over time

Median error by day: Resideline AVM (teal) vs. taking the list price (gray).

Receipts

Recent sales, graded

Our frozen prediction next to what each home actually sold for.

PropertyPredictedSold forMissClosed
907 Autumn Ridge Rd, Sandwich, IL 60548
IL
$470,033$470,0000.0%2026-08-25
18 Armsby Cir, Campton, NH 03223
NH
$532,731$515,0003.4%2026-08-25
47 White Oak Rd, Nesquehoning, PA 18240
PA
$770,598$802,0003.9%2026-08-25
8111 Hammond Blvd, Jacksonville, FL 32220
FL
$175,671$170,0003.3%2026-08-25
3022 Whitehaven Blvd, Steubenville, OH 43952
OH
$239,583$235,0001.9%2026-08-25
1644 37th ST Nw, Canton, OH 44709
OH
$123,376$125,0001.3%2026-08-25
9 Starview Ave, Putnam Valley, NY 10579
NY
$493,803$535,0007.7%2026-08-25
346 Hazelnut Hill Rd, Groton, CT 06340
CT
$466,745$480,0002.8%2026-08-25
347 Country Club Ct #0, Eldridge, IA 52748
IA
$328,387$300,7009.2%2026-08-24
1136 53rd St, Moline, IL 61265
IL
$129,673$138,5666.4%2026-08-24
13,130 graded homes all time
1 / 1313

Run it on any property.

The same model that produces these numbers powers every Resideline valuation report.

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Frozen while listed Graded on real closes Untunable by design

Methodology: every day we value active listings and freeze each prediction. When a home later closes, the frozen number is compared to the recorded sale price; predictions can never be revised after the fact. Median error is the median absolute difference between prediction and sale price, as a percent of the sale price. Sale prices from public records.