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Market Watch
August 4, 2026· Updated October 3, 2026
5 min read

Valrico, FL Housing Market 2026: What Homes Actually Sell For

What homes actually sell for in Valrico: a median closing price of $407,000 across 295 closings Resideline tracked over the last six months, plus the full price spread and a ZIP-level breakdown.

Resideline Team
Valrico, FL Housing Market 2026: What Homes Actually Sell For

If you invest in or around Valrico, the number that matters is what homes actually close for, not what sellers are asking. Here is what Valrico sale prices look like right now, built from the closings Resideline tracked over the last six months, as of October 2026.

The snapshot

  • •Closings tracked, last 6 months: 295
  • •Median sold price, last 6 months: $407,000
  • •Median sold $/sqft, last 6 months: $205
  • •Middle half of sales closed between: $315,000 and $531,500

What the numbers say

Resideline tracked 295 closed sales in Valrico over the last six months, with a median closing price of $407,000. That median is the midpoint of what buyers actually paid, not what sellers hoped to get, which is why it moves differently from the asking prices you see on listing sites. The middle half of those sales closed between $315,000 and $531,500. That spread matters more than the headline median: where a specific property sits inside it decides whether the citywide number helps you or misleads you. These are the closings Resideline tracks and may differ from complete county or municipal records. 89% of the Valrico closings we track here are single-family houses, so these figures primarily reflect that segment, and the citywide $/sqft figure primarily reflects that segment as well. Across the 293 closings with usable living area, the middle half sold between $169 and $231 per square foot.

Figures last updated October 3, 2026 from closings Resideline tracked.

Median home price in Valrico, FL (October 2026)

The median home price in Valrico is $407,000, measured across the 295 closed sales Resideline tracked over the last six months. The middle half of those sales closed between $315,000 and $531,500.

Where Valrico sale prices land

What homes actually sell for in Valrico
Closed sale prices over the last six months. Middle half of sales: $315k to $532k
Tap to enlarge
$70k to $162k: 7 sales$70k$162k to $254k: 28 sales$254k to $346k: 45 sales$254k$346k to $438k: 70 sales70sales$438k to $529k: 53 sales$438k$529k to $621k: 33 sales$621k to $713k: 13 sales$621k$713k to $805k: 12 salesMedian $407k

Medians hide the shape of a market. The distribution above covers the closed sales Resideline tracked in Valrico over the last six months that carry a usable sale date, trimmed to the 5th through 95th percentile, with the middle half of sales closing between $315,000 and $531,500. Among the 205 Florida markets with a published band, Valrico's middle-half spread ($315,000 to $531,500) ranks 70th from the narrowest. Where your target property sits inside that spread matters more than the citywide median.

Median sold price per square foot
Valrico monthly medians for the complete months inside the last six months, May 2026 to Sep 2026, among qualifying closings with usable living area. 5 months plotted.
Tap to enlarge
May 2026: $204 per square foot across 52 sales$204MayJun 2026: $209 per square foot across 61 sales$209JunJul 2026: $187 per square foot across 48 sales$187JulAug 2026: $208 per square foot across 53 sales$208AugSep 2026: $197 per square foot across 32 sales$197Sep

How long a sale takes here

  • •Listed to under contract: a median of 21 days, across 195 Valrico closings Resideline tracked in the last six months
  • •Contract to closing: a median of 32 days, across 189 Valrico closings Resideline tracked in the last six months
Both are measured from the closings themselves, not from listing inventory. Each sale is timed using its own listing and contract dates. That is why these counts are smaller than the 295 closings above: a sale is counted here only when we hold both of its dates.

The Valrico angle

Across 295 closings Resideline tracked over the last six months in Valrico, the median closed sale price was $407,000, and the middle half of sales closed between $315,000 and $531,500. There is somewhat more room above the median than below it, so a property you judge above average should be priced off the upper part of the band rather than off the middle.

Valrico market data by ZIP code

Citywide medians hide block-by-block variation. Resideline publishes free, regularly refreshed market snapshots for Valrico ZIP codes: 33594 · 33596.

From market read to offer price

A market read is the backdrop. The decision still comes down to one property and one number: what it is actually worth and what you should pay. Every Resideline report opens with this same market snapshot for the subject's exact ZIP code, then gives you the property's value, the sold comps behind it, and a market rent estimate. Pricing a specific deal? The free ARV calculator, rehab cost estimator, BRRRR calculator and rental property calculator run the numbers in about a minute.

And we show our work. Every estimate is frozen while the home is for sale and graded against the real closing price after it sells. See the live accuracy dashboard for the receipts, or read how the Area Market Snapshot works.

Run any Valrico address through Resideline and you will see the local market and the property's value together, in one report.

Cite this

Using these numbers? Please cite the source and the sample size:

code
Source: Resideline Market Watch
Market: Valrico, FL
Geography: Census-designated place, not an incorporated municipality, Census place 1273700
Data updated: October 2026
Analysis period: last six months
Tracked closings: 295
Median sold price: $407,000
Median sold $/sqft: $205 (293 qualifying)
Property mix: 89% houses
https://resideline.com/blog/valrico-fl-housing-market

Writing about this market? Paste this into your post:

code
<a href="https://resideline.com/blog/valrico-fl-housing-market">
  <img src="https://resideline.com/images/embed/valrico-fl.png" alt="Valrico, FL home sale price distribution, last six months" width="1000" style="max-width:100%;height:auto">
</a>
<p>Source: <a href="https://resideline.com/blog/valrico-fl-housing-market">Resideline Market Watch</a></p>

The local market statistics in this report are calculated from closed sales tracked by Resideline. Transaction coverage may differ from complete county or municipal records.

Every local market figure on this page is computed from closed sales Resideline tracked in Valrico over the last six months, and is refreshed when the data is. The closings we track across the Valrico Census-designated area are not limited to listing-service sales: they also include foreclosure deeds, estate and family transfers, and other off-market sales that portal medians exclude, which is why 12% of the 295 closings in this window never appeared on a listing service, and the median of MLS-listed sales alone was $432,100.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the median home price in Valrico?

The median sold price in Valrico over the last 6 months is $407,000, measured across 295 closings Resideline tracked.

How many homes sold in Valrico last month?

Resideline has tracked 32 closed sales in Valrico in September 2026 so far, out of 295 closings tracked over the last six months. The most recent month keeps filling in for several weeks as closings are recorded, so this count will rise. These are tracked samples of market activity, not official county totals.

What is the typical sale price range in Valrico?

The middle half of Valrico sales over the last six months closed between $315,000 and $531,500, with a median of $407,000.

What is the typical price per square foot in Valrico?

Among qualifying Valrico closings Resideline tracked over the last six months, the median sold price per square foot was $205, measured across 293 sales with usable living area. Median is used rather than average because outliers distort the mean.

Is the citywide median a reliable price anchor for a Valrico home?

It is a reasonable starting point, more so than in most markets we track, because the middle half of Valrico closings falls in a relatively narrow band around $407,000. Treat it as a hypothesis rather than an answer: confirm your subject sits near the middle of the market on the attributes you can verify, then pull individual closed comps to set the final number.

What could a property in Valrico be worth?

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