Chapel Hill, NC Housing Market 2026: What Homes Actually Sell For

Chapel Hill produces a steady stream of closings but little consensus: sales over the last six months span a range wide enough that the median is a midpoint between different markets, not a going rate. The distribution below matters more than the headline.

The snapshot

• •Closings tracked, last 6 months: 414
• •Median sold price, last 6 months: $620,000
• •Median sold $/sqft, last 6 months: $299
• •Middle half of sales closed between: $375,000 and $937,000

What the numbers say

Resideline tracked 414 closed sales in Chapel Hill over the last six months, with a median closing price of $620,000. That median is the midpoint of what buyers actually paid, not what sellers hoped to get, which is why it moves differently from the asking prices you see on listing sites. The middle half of those sales closed between $375,000 and $937,000. That spread matters more than the headline median: where a specific property sits inside it decides whether the citywide number helps you or misleads you. These are the closings Resideline tracks and may differ from complete county or municipal records. Across the 409 closings with usable living area, the middle half sold between $252 and $376 per square foot.

Figures last updated October 3, 2026 from closings Resideline tracked.

Median home price in Chapel Hill, NC (October 2026)

The median home price in Chapel Hill is $620,000, measured across the 414 closed sales Resideline tracked over the last six months. The middle half of those sales closed between $375,000 and $937,000.

Where Chapel Hill sale prices land

Medians hide the shape of a market. The distribution above covers the closed sales Resideline tracked in Chapel Hill over the last six months that carry a usable sale date, trimmed to the 5th through 95th percentile, with the middle half of sales closing between $375,000 and $937,000. Among the 100 North Carolina markets with a published band, Chapel Hill's middle-half spread ($375,000 to $937,000) ranks 92nd from the narrowest. Where your target property sits inside that spread matters more than the citywide median. Measured as the ratio of the upper to the lower quartile, its middle-half spread ranks in the 92nd percentile of the 2,230 US markets in Resideline's national Market Watch set, on data as of October 3, 2026.

How long a sale takes here

• •Listed to under contract: a median of 14 days, across 273 Chapel Hill closings Resideline tracked in the last six months
• •Contract to closing: a median of 31 days, across 279 Chapel Hill closings Resideline tracked in the last six months

The Chapel Hill angle

Over six months Resideline tracked 414 closings in Chapel Hill, where the median closed sale price was $620,000 and the middle half of sales closed between $375,000 and $937,000. That band is wider than most markets we track, with more distance above the median than below it, so a citywide figure is a weak stand in for any single address. The practical response is to spend your effort on the comp set: match on the attributes that matter to your subject, keep the comps in the same portion of the range, and be explicit about which part of the band you are pricing into.

Chapel Hill market data by ZIP code

Citywide medians hide block-by-block variation. Resideline publishes free, regularly refreshed market snapshots for Chapel Hill ZIP codes: 27516 · 27517 · 27514.

From market read to offer price

A spread this wide means the citywide number cannot price a specific address; the step that matters is the property-level read. The decision still comes down to one property and one number: what it is actually worth and what you should pay. Every Resideline report opens with this same market snapshot for the subject's exact ZIP code, then gives you the property's value, the sold comps behind it, and a market rent estimate. Pricing a specific deal? The free ARV calculator, rehab cost estimator, BRRRR calculator and rental property calculator run the numbers in about a minute.

And we show our work. Every estimate is frozen while the home is for sale and graded against the real closing price after it sells. See the live accuracy dashboard for the receipts, or read how the Area Market Snapshot works.

Run any Chapel Hill address through Resideline and you will see the local market and the property's value together, in one report.

Cite this

Using these numbers? Please cite the source and the sample size:

Source: Resideline Market Watch
Market: Chapel Hill, NC
Geography: incorporated municipality, Census place 3711800
Data updated: October 2026
Analysis period: last six months
Tracked closings: 414
Median sold price: $620,000
Median sold $/sqft: $299 (409 qualifying)
https://resideline.com/blog/chapel-hill-nc-housing-market

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<a href="https://resideline.com/blog/chapel-hill-nc-housing-market">
  <img src="https://resideline.com/images/embed/chapel-hill-nc.png" alt="Chapel Hill, NC home sale price distribution, last six months" width="1000" style="max-width:100%;height:auto">
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<p>Source: <a href="https://resideline.com/blog/chapel-hill-nc-housing-market">Resideline Market Watch</a></p>

The local market statistics in this report are calculated from closed sales tracked by Resideline. Transaction coverage may differ from complete county or municipal records.

Every local market figure on this page is computed from closed sales Resideline tracked in Chapel Hill over the last six months, and is refreshed when the data is. The closings we track within the Chapel Hill city limits are not limited to listing-service sales: they also include foreclosure deeds, estate and family transfers, and other off-market sales that portal medians exclude, which is why 20% of the 414 closings in this window never appeared on a listing service, and the median of MLS-listed sales alone was $635,000.